
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
LATEST POSTS
- 1
Is Trump going to war with Venezuela? - 2
IDF destroys Hezbollah rocket launcher used in large rocket salvo towards Haifa, Galilee - 3
One-third of asylum applications by Iranians approved in Germany - 4
5 Indoor Plants That Further develop Air Quality - 5
Pulsars to the extreme: Spinning dead stars found blasting radio signals from the 'edge of their magnetic reach'
Africa's energy giants eye long-term gains on Iran war disruption
Embracing Practical Living and Ecological Protection
A top Marine shares his secrets to keeping fit at 50
This ‘CSI: Miami’ star spent years solving crimes on TV. Then she became the target of one herself.
Germany's far-right AfD tops poll ahead of Merz's conservatives
Going with Children: Tips for Tranquil Family Get-aways
Storm Goretti sweeps United Kingdom, France with winds over 120 mph
Spanish bishops and government sign deal for compensation of church sexual abuse victims
Cocoa Prices Undercut Amid the Prospects of Abundant Supplies












